The most common and most likely answer to this crossword clue is the 3 plus 5 letter word ICE SHEET
I've seen this crossword clue in The Daily Telegraph
I
C
E
S
H
E
E
T
Buddy explains!
The straight part
We know that "Global warming will affect this" is the straight/definition part of the clue. The straight part is often a synonym or definition, in this case global warming will affect this = ice sheet.The cryptic/wordplay part
In cryptic crossword there's often an wordplay/cryptic part as well.This part involves a more complex hint, such as an anagram, homophone, hidden word, etc.
Sadly, We don't have an explanation for this specific crossword clue yet.